Biography
Aurelien Baillon is Professor of Economics of Uncertainty, in the Behavioral Economics group. His work focuses on individual decision making under risk and ambiguity. Through both empirical and theoretical studies, his research addresses issues in subjective probability elicitation, models of attitude towards risk and ambiguity, and aggregation of expert opinions (Personal website).Opens external
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Work
- David Gonzalez-Jimenez, Francesco Capozza, Thomas Dirkmaat, Evelien van de Veer, Amber van Druten & Aurélien Baillon (2025) - Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs Opens external - Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 230 - doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106868Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Ilke Aydogan, Aurélien Baillon, Emmanuel Kemel & Chen Li (2025) - How much do we learn?: Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices Opens external - Quantitative Economics, 16 (1), 329-365 - doi: 10.3982/QE2094Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Owen O'Donnell, Stella Quimbo & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - Do time preferences explain low health insurance take-up? Opens external - Journal of Risk and Insurance, 89 (4), 951-983 - doi: 10.1111/jori.12395Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt & Georg D. Granic (2022) - Incentives in surveys Opens external - Journal of Economic Psychology, 93 - doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2022.102552Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu, Johannes Jaspersen & Richard Peter (2022) - When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention Opens external - Operations Research, 70 (3), 1371-1392 - doi: 10.1287/OPRE.2019.1910Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Yoram Halevy & Chen Li (2022) - Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion Opens external - Econometrica, 90 (3), 1085-1107 - doi: 10.3982/ecta18137Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Aleli Kraft, Owen O’Donnell & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance Opens external - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 64 (1), 43-87 - doi: 10.1007/s11166-022-09371-2Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Yoram Halevy & Chen Li (2022) - Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system Opens external - Experimental Economics, 25 (3), 1002-1023 - doi: 10.1007/s10683-021-09739-2Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Joseph Capuno, Owen O'Donnell, Carlos Antonio Tan & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment Opens external - Journal of Health Economics, 81 - doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102580Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Sophie Van Der Zee, Ronald Poppe, Alice Havrileck & Aurélien Baillon (2021) - A Personal Model of Trumpery: Linguistic Deception Detection in a Real-World High-Stakes Setting Opens external - Psychological Science, 33 (1), 3-17 - doi: 10.1177/09567976211015941Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Chen Li & Peter P. Wakker (2021) - Belief hedges: Measuring ambiguity for all events and all models Opens external - Journal of Economic Theory, 198 - doi: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105353Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon & Yan Xu (2021) - Simple bets to elicit private signals Opens external - Theoretical Economics, 16 (3), 777-797 - doi: 10.3982/TE4343Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Cathleen Johnson, Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Zhihua Li, Dennie van Dolder & Peter P. Wakker (2021) - Prince: An improved method for measuring incentivized preferences Opens external - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 62 (1), 1-28 - doi: 10.1007/s11166-021-09346-9Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon & Olivier L’Haridon (2020) - Discrete Arrow–Pratt indexes for risk and uncertainty Opens external - Economic Theory - doi: 10.1007/s00199-020-01315-8Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurelien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt & Vitalie Spinu (2020) - Searching for the reference point Opens external - Management Science, 66 (1), 93-112 - doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2018.3224Opens external
- Aurelien Baillon, J de Bruin, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu, E van de Veer & B van Dijk (2019) - Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks Opens external - PLoS One (online) - doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0224216Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurelien Baillon & L Placido (2019) - Testing constant absolute and relative ambiguity aversion Opens external - Journal of Economic Theory, 181, 309-332 - doi: 10.1016/j.jet.2019.02.006Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurelien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu & J Jaspersen (2019) - When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention Opens external - Operations Research, Accepted - [link]Opens external
- Aurelien Baillon, Zhenxing Huang, A (Asli) Selim & Peter Wakker (2018) - Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events Opens external - Econometrica, 86 (5), 1839-1858 - doi: 10.3982/ECTA14370Opens external - [link]Opens external
- Aurélien Baillon (2016) - ERC Starting Grant - BayesianMarkets
- Aurélien Baillon (2014) - NWO Vidi Grant - Beyond rational expectations
- Aurélien Baillon (2011) - NWO Veni Grant - (Un)healthy ambiguity
Thesis Hub Master Economics & BusinessOpens external
- Year
- 2023
- Course Code
- FEM61007
Internship HubOpens external
- Year
- 2023
- Course Code
- FEB63017