Biography
Aurelien Baillon is Professor of Economics of Uncertainty, in the Behavioral Economics group. His work focuses on individual decision making under risk and ambiguity. Through both empirical and theoretical studies, his research addresses issues in subjective probability elicitation, models of attitude towards risk and ambiguity, and aggregation of expert opinions (Personal website).
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Work
- David Gonzalez-Jimenez, Francesco Capozza, Thomas Dirkmaat, Evelien van de Veer, Amber van Druten & Aurélien Baillon (2025) - Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs - Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 230 - doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106868 - [link]
- Ilke Aydogan, Aurélien Baillon, Emmanuel Kemel & Chen Li (2025) - How much do we learn?: Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices - Quantitative Economics, 16 (1), 329-365 - doi: 10.3982/QE2094 - [link]
- Aurelien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Chen Li & Peter Wakker (2025) - Source Theory: A Tractable and Positive Ambiguity Theory - Management Science - doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2023.03307
- Aurélien Baillon, Owen O'Donnell, Stella Quimbo & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - Do time preferences explain low health insurance take-up? - Journal of Risk and Insurance, 89 (4), 951-983 - doi: 10.1111/jori.12395 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt & Georg D. Granic (2022) - Incentives in surveys - Journal of Economic Psychology, 93 - doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2022.102552 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu, Johannes Jaspersen & Richard Peter (2022) - When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention - Operations Research, 70 (3), 1371-1392 - doi: 10.1287/OPRE.2019.1910 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Yoram Halevy & Chen Li (2022) - Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion - Econometrica, 90 (3), 1085-1107 - doi: 10.3982/ecta18137 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Aleli Kraft, Owen O’Donnell & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 64 (1), 43-87 - doi: 10.1007/s11166-022-09371-2 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Yoram Halevy & Chen Li (2022) - Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system - Experimental Economics, 25 (3), 1002-1023 - doi: 10.1007/s10683-021-09739-2 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon, Joseph Capuno, Owen O'Donnell, Carlos Antonio Tan & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) - Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment - Journal of Health Economics, 81 - doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102580 - [link]
- Aurélien Baillon (2016) - ERC Starting Grant - BayesianMarkets
- Aurélien Baillon (2014) - NWO Vidi Grant - Beyond rational expectations
- Aurélien Baillon (2011) - NWO Veni Grant - (Un)healthy ambiguity
